This means all three jurisdictions will be among the most vaccinated in the world once second doses are completed and teenagers catch up with adult rates in about two weeks time. NSW and the ACT have first dose rates of more than 90 per cent and Victoria has 89 per cent adult coverage and still rising.
ICU admissions in Victoria are expected to be less than half what was predicted according to new Burnet modelling. The revision came as both NSW and Victoria have had a health impact from the current wave about half of what was expected from Burnet’s modelling.Įxperts said the updated Victorian modelling was broadly applicable to NSW and the ACT, suggesting all three jurisdictions could have a much lower disease burden and impact on the health system as the most-populated parts of the country move to reopen this summer. Ongoing modelling commissioned by the Victorian government shows a 45 per cent reduction in the expected number of cumulative fatalities across the Victorian outbreak through to January and a 55 per cent reduction in peak ICU admissions than what was originally projected in September. Sharply improved infection and disease control from the rapid uptake of vaccines in south-east Australia gives experts hope the nation could see far better health results as the country reopens internally and internationally.įaster and higher vaccine uptake, combined with their higher-than-expected efficacy, more fully vaccinated people being tested, and shorter hospital stays has led the Burnet Institute to decrease its projected hospitalisation, ICU and death rates.
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